NFL Week 3 odds, picks: Rams’ pressure vs. Kyler Murray sparks win, Packers’ ground game too much for Bucs

After a wild Week 2, we have a little more clarity as to which teams are good and which teams might struggle this season. Here are the moves and subsequent Week 3 matchups on my radar, along with how they could impact the outcome of these games.

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: Fox. Streaming: FuboTV

Featured Game | Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams

Defensive schemes favor Stafford, not Murray

Just as recent history favors the Bills against the Dolphins, the Rams have had Kyler Murray’s number. Murray’s marks against the Rams (1-6 SU, 1-5-1 ATS, 7 TD, 8 Int) are all his worst against any team (min. 3 games). The only time Murray beat the Rams he also had DeAndre Hopkins in the lineup.

Murray vs. Rams pressure

Kyler’s struggles against the Rams begin with pressure. He has been pressured on 36% of his dropbacks against them, his worst rate against any team. He was completely under fire against them in the playoffs last year, going 4 of 12 for 22 yards and an interception when hurried. Los Angeles’ pass rush isn’t as potent without Von Miller, but it’s good enough to put an end to the magic act Murray pulled off last week.

Stafford vs. Cardinals blitz

The key to beating Matthew Stafford? DO NOT BLITZ. He has an NFL-best 139.8 passer rating against five-plus pass rushers since getting traded to the Rams, with 18 touchdown passes and one pick. In a Rams uniform, Stafford is 9-0 when blitzed at least 25% of the time and 8-6 in all other games.

I’d like to give Arizona the benefit of the doubt and say “maybe they won’t blitz,” but I can’t do it…

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NFL Week 3 odds, picks: Rams’ pressure vs. Kyler Murray sparks win, Packers’ ground game too much for Bucs – todaysfan.com